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Can the G.O.P. Senate Majority Survive Donald Trump?

On a Sunday morning toward the beginning of June, Senator Mark Kirk moved into an uptown Chicago bar in his wheelchair to participate in the city's 47th yearly L.G.B.T. Pride Parade, wearing a red polo shirt, charcoal khakis and the abashed half-grin of a 56-year-old man who has as of now evaluated his one in a million chances of mixing in. He lifted himself up and advanced into the group, inclining toward the stick he has utilized since misery an extreme stroke four years back.

A couple of youngsters wearing robin's-egg blue Equality Illinois T-shirts drew nearer him. They shook his hand and expressed gratitude toward him for being one of only a handful couple of Republican representatives to support the Equality Act, which would develop the Civil Rights Act of 1964 to deny oppression L.G.B.T. individuals. The experiences had a tendency to be brief, on the grounds that even in the most great circumstances Kirk has dependably been a fairly clumsy conversationalist. Swarmed up against a moderately aged lady wearing a rainbow tutu, he offered: "My companion has a 3-year-old granddaughter who wears only tutus. It'd regard get her one of those. Useful for, er, political purposes."

On out the entryway, Kirk discovered his way blocked by another wheelchair-utilizing government official: Representative Tammy Duckworth, his Democratic rival in November's decision, who lost both of her legs to a projectile as an Army helicopter pilot amid the Iraq war. The two wincingly shook hands — "At whatever point you keep running into your rival," he let me know later, "there's dependably that fake grin" — yet said nothing. 

Out on North Broadway, where the merriments were going to start, Kirk moved into the dark Mustang convertible that would ship him through the parade. A little while later, Duckworth appeared close-by. The 48-year-old congresswoman wore a rainbow-hued creatively colored T-shirt, a few beaded pieces of jewelry and a corona of blossoms in her hair. "Charm hoo!" she hollered as spectators got out her name. In the interim Kirk — a man who is discernably of, by and for the northern rural areas of Chicago — sat in the traveler seat of the Mustang and cast a meditative look at the dim mists assembling overhead.

Kirk is refreshingly unvarnished as representatives go and did not try professing to be in the parading soul. Under four months before Election Day, the principal term representative's own surveys have him 3 focuses behind Duckworth. Over a year back, Beltway chances producers were at that point rating Kirk as one of the likeliest to lose among the legislators up for re-decision in 2016. Illinois is an unflinchingly blue express that turns out to be significantly all the more so in a presidential cycle, when dark and Hispanic turnout in the Chicago territory is particularly high; the last Republican from the state to hold a United States Senate seat for more than one term was Charles Percy, who left office in 1985. Despite the fact that Kirk was a congressman for an entire decade before winning in 2010 the Senate situate once held by Barack Obama, right up 'til today he does not have a national or even statewide profile. And every one of this was before a specific land mogul chose to keep running for president.

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